Systematic review and meta-analysis of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for new cancer drugs.

Authors: Fernanda Alves Oliveira, Eduardo Alves Oliveira, Gilberto Lopes, Joao Paulo SN Lima

Published: 2020-10-08

DOI: 10.1200/jco.2020.38.29_suppl.66

Source: Full article


Abstract

66 Background: This systematic review and meta-analysis compared incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of cancer drugs and their relationship with society’s willingness to pay (WTP) across different countries, scenarios and indications. Methods: We sought for cost-effectiveness studies in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane and LILACS published from December 2012 to December 2017. CAR-T cell therapies were excluded given short follow-up. We converted ICERs value and respective annualized 1time the Gross Domestic Product per capita (GDP) - used as a proxy for WTP threshold - into purchase-parity-power dollars (PPP) for better economic reality comparisons. Economics data came from the International Monetary Fund website. Characteristics studied in the distribution of ICERs values were compared using the Mann-Whitney or Kruskal-Wallis U-test with multiple comparison correction and simple linear regression. The chance of ICER being below the 1x GDP threshold was expressed as odds ratio and 95% confidence interval, calculated by logistic regression. Results: We retrieved 354 drug-versus-drug different assessments. PPPconversion increased median ICER of middle-income countries ($32k to $68k;P < 0.001). Median ICER was highest in USA ($154k), followed by other high-income countries ($76k; P < 0.001). In multiple regression, anti-VEGF (P < 0.001) and US-led (P = 0.03) studies had highest ICERs, while curative therapies (p = 0.02) had the lowest ones. 22% of studies were below the WTP bar, none of anti-VEGF, sipuleucel, anti-CD-30, castration-resistant, hepatocarcinoma, and renal cell ones. Immune checkpoint inhibition (OR 8.70; P = 0.045) and middle-income (OR 7.40; P < 0.001) studies were more likely above WTP, whereas curative therapies were more likely below WTP. Conclusions: Cancer therapies’ cost exceeding the WTPs is a worldwide pattern, with some factors related to ICER variation. These findings may foster better understanding and aid stakeholders deal with the global issue of high oncology care costs.